Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 7.300606 8.106421 9.007649 10.099071 11.397054 12.906832 14.819117
2024-10-06 6.246032 7.354227 8.710730 10.531295 12.973121 16.234543 21.109812
2024-10-13 5.329317 6.485295 7.975912 10.105234 13.191073 17.725341 25.404944
2024-10-20 4.690365 5.841678 7.382542 9.687408 13.232476 18.859368 29.479135
2024-10-27 4.256223 5.402774 6.985404 9.447523 13.438151 20.237681 34.505095
2024-11-03 3.948087 5.096498 6.725999 9.353504 13.827154 21.997434 41.143784
2024-11-10 3.863014 5.090393 6.892496 9.933656 15.457419 26.556541 57.223204
2024-11-17 3.702010 4.954450 6.841856 10.142155 16.457635 30.219012 74.539656
2024-11-24 3.473322 4.696234 6.571376 9.930145 16.594910 31.994410 87.914854
2024-12-01 3.299706 4.507620 6.392532 9.853267 16.986429 34.550968 107.945607
2024-12-08 3.113910 4.286483 6.140414 9.608616 16.970229 36.041599 125.965309
2024-12-15 2.982195 4.141125 6.001243 9.557418 17.372172 38.910628 158.048148
2024-12-22 2.880714 4.047841 5.960021 9.727609 18.425402 44.706002 234.737057
2024-12-29 2.814846 4.009395 6.013641 10.105681 20.137033 54.271168 430.375177
2025-01-05 2.641188 3.780988 5.710384 9.702878 19.719991 55.487467 538.949599
2025-01-12 2.484876 3.572331 5.426975 9.309008 19.246093 56.274439 669.500552
2025-01-19 2.365354 3.418590 5.231864 9.082715 19.196387 59.062792 958.106192
2025-01-26 2.274032 3.307334 5.106335 8.993982 19.529478 64.122572 1698.999202
2025-02-02 2.268577 3.342086 5.254699 9.541134 21.967510 83.910580 19295.439608
2025-02-09 2.220606 3.299554 5.251866 9.737555 23.375800 100.444258 NaN
2025-02-16 2.132470 3.181326 5.093065 9.537825 23.367412 106.699775 NaN
2025-02-23 2.063963 3.094658 4.990610 9.465372 23.808835 118.030172 NaN
2025-03-02 1.983707 2.983234 4.831934 9.234694 23.605233 123.309633 NaN